CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2024-08-09T21:48:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2024-08-09T21:48ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/32663/-1
CME Note: Partial halo CME visible to the west in SOHO LASCO C2/C3 and STEREO A COR2. The source is an M4.5 flare peaking at 2024-08-09T21:23Z from AR 3774 (approx. S05W40). Eruption with rising/opening field lines and dimming are best seen in SDO AIA 193, GOES 284, and STEREO A EUV 195. No clear CME arrival signatures in the solar wind.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2024-08-12T22:56Z
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 52.3333%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 3.71429 - 5.42857
Prediction Method: Average of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:
This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CMELead Time: 35.88 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2024-08-11T11:03Z
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